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本帖最后由 johorphang 于 2016-4-21 07:41 AM 编辑
Let us look at VIVOCOM afresh through the eyes of a market strategist.
Prices made a new-2016 high at 33.0 sen last week and then corrected lower on light profit-taking selling.
At these levels, I believe the smart-money is busy accumulating.
Prices are now boxed for three days in a tight trading-range of 30.5 to 31.5 sen.
How long would this meandering kind of trading last? I cannot tell.
It could be days or even one week.
What direction would the next price big-move be after the consolidation period, I think I know!
During late-February 2016 till today there were four similar chart boxing configurations. (See chart 1, 2, 3 and the latest one which is 4).
The earlier three price consolidations phases lasted for one week to two weeks.
The price of VIVOCOM surged upwards strongly upon completion of the consolidation phase. See chart 1,2 and 3).
My technical guess tells me now that the current price congestion at (4) would take the same course upon its completion.
The latest price congestion (4) has lasted four days and has not given any indication that it is completed.
A sudden increased in daily volume
accomplished by an upward break above the 32.0-32.5 levels would signal the resumption of the bullish momentum of the 3-wave that could take values to 36.0-38.0 levels.
The 4-wave would see prices lifted higher to test the 43.0-46.0 levels and to be followed by the 5-wave fueled by irrational exponential exuberance that could send prices into uncharted territory at the 58.0-60.0 sen. See chart.
On the fundamental front, there are all kind of bullish possibilities ahead of the release of the 1st Q PAT results due on May 16.
The marketplace guesstimates is now calling 17.0-17.5 M for the Q1 PAT.
An eventual number at 18.0 M would be considered bullish.
Anything at 19.0 M or higher would be viewed as extremely bullish and would provide the impetus to trigger off some very aggressive buying.
There are also possibility of fresh contracts to boost up VIVOCOMs order books.
Under such circumstances, the fundamental picture would turn very positive and alter the the entire price picture for the future.
In short, both the fundamentals and technicals of VIVOCOM remains solid.
We are actually in a 'calm before the storm' and when it strikes, like a twister-tornado would [粗俗词语过滤-#0003] prices higher.
The best time to buy is now!
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